San Francisco Onion Futures Company

(onionfutures.com)

296 points | by z-mach9 12 hours ago

35 comments

  • mimorigasaka 11 hours ago
    The people behind this are a real (if silly) student organization at UChicago and Northwestern campaigning for the legalization of onion futures trading. Sometimes they will aggressively hand out free onions to passerby on campus. It's quite entertaining.

    They have a website also: https://onionfutures.org

    • a11ce 11 hours ago
      Hi! I'm the proprietor of onionfutures.com. I'm actually not a member of UChicago for Our Futures and came up with the idea independently, but we've since connected and they handle our Chicago deliveries.
      • what 10 hours ago
        Are you really charging $9/onion? I get upset when Safeway charges $2/lb when I can get onions for a quarter that price.
        • dgellow 5 hours ago
          “We are selling to willing buyers at the current fair market price”

          https://youtu.be/wYlptbR0Dkw

          • divbzero 47 minutes ago
            “You will never sell anything to any of those people ever again.”
          • doughecka 4 hours ago
            I read that in his voice.
        • a11ce 10 hours ago
          Yes, it's primarily a novelty/art thing. But I do actually deliver the onions. Prices vary.
        • luma 10 hours ago
          Priced to what the market can bear
        • IncreasePosts 10 hours ago
          Maybe it's a really big onion
          • bryanrasmussen 9 hours ago
            maybe it tastes more oniony than most onions, these onions are the essential onions of which other onions are mere shadows.
            • dcuthbertson 7 hours ago
              It's the mischief caused by shadow onions lurking in dark corners of the market bins that make me cry.
      • teaearlgraycold 10 hours ago
        I can confirm this person is the owner of onionfutures.com
        • mcint 6 hours ago
          I can confirm this person can confirm a11ce is the owner of onionfutures.com
          • jeffrallen 4 hours ago
            I can confirm that these people are silly.
            • brookst 2 hours ago
              [citation needed]
      • Drupon 10 hours ago
        [flagged]
    • Drupon 10 hours ago
      [flagged]
  • cwal37 11 hours ago
    For those who don’t know:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Onion_Futures_Act

    (which also banned box office receipt futures)

    A fun thing is to go on FRED and make a graph with prices from onions and, say, corn to see the differences in volatility.

    • chirau 6 hours ago
      I looked up onions, lettuce and tomatoes (because burgers), and the volatility actually looks very similar. Am I missing something or looking at the wrong things?

      Tomato: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WPU01130217 Onion: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WPU01130216 Lettuce: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WPU01130215

      • bz_bz_bz 41 minutes ago
        None of the products you’ve chosen have a substantial futures market, which is why the person you responded to chose corn to make their point.
      • gradus_ad 4 hours ago
        The weather affects all crops
        • brookst 2 hours ago
          But isn’t the point that futures trading reduces volatility from things like weather?
          • brudgers 23 minutes ago
            The point is making money.
          • hyperhello 2 hours ago
            “Absorbs” volatility might be more accurate.
            • brookst 46 minutes ago
              I will resist the urge to inquire about the difference between reducing and absorbing.
        • vishalontheline 3 hours ago
          And the cost of transportation.
    • samaltman2 3 hours ago
      Interesting. This would be more sensible if it was time-bound. Since the intention was clearly "stop a bad thing someone is doing right now" and not "make this field illegal forever"
    • lukan 8 hours ago
      So this is genuine free market activism?
      • Avicebron 5 hours ago
        What will the kids think up next?
    • mauvehaus 3 hours ago
      This has to have been the inspiration for Milo Minderbinder cornering the cotton market in Catch-22, right?
  • Barbing 11 hours ago
    > FAQ

    >Is this legal?

    >Yes, to the best of our knowledge. 7 U.S. Code § 13-1 prohibits "contract[s] for the sale of [...] onions for future delivery [...] on or subject to the rules of any board of trade in the United States." The San Francisco Onion Futures Company is not a board of trade, defined as an "organized exchange or other trading facility". We sell contracts privately to individual buyers, and do not operate any exchange or secondary market.

    Performance art against that law?

    Also November onions are an absolute steal compared to the adjacent months!

    • dougSF70 10 hours ago
      I believe 10/15 is a huge harvest day for Vidalia(??) Onions so crop will be scarce leading up to the harvest. As my multi-player free farming simulator has shown me. https://farm-mp.frontpageintelligence.ai/
      • conorcleary 5 hours ago
        This is really neat, but, the wages and other costs are way too ballooned to envision as a simulator parallel to 'real life' farming.
        • dougSF70 39 minutes ago
          It runs on 250 year epochs so if you join late the costs have inflated quite a bit
    • hyperhello 11 hours ago
      > The San Francisco Onion Futures Company is not a board of trade, defined as an "organized exchange or other trading facility".

      I hate to argue but then what would they define this as, if not an organized exchange or other trading facility?

      • FBT 11 hours ago
        7 USC § 1a(37) defines an "organized exchange" as

        > [A] trading facility that— (A) permits trading— (i) by or on behalf of a person that is not an eligible contract participant; or (ii) by persons other than on a principal-to-principal basis; or (B) has adopted (directly or through another nongovernmental entity) rules that— (i) govern the conduct of participants, other than rules that govern the submission of orders or execution of transactions on the trading facility; and (ii) include disciplinary sanctions other than the exclusion of participants from trading.

        And 7 USC § 1a(51)(A) defines a "trading facility" as

        > [A] person or group of persons that constitutes, maintains, or provides a physical or electronic facility or system in which multiple participants have the ability to execute or trade agreements, contracts, or transactions— (i) by accepting bids or offers made by other participants that are open to multiple participants in the facility or system; or (ii) through the interaction of multiple bids or multiple offers within a system with a pre-determined non-discretionary automated trade matching and execution algorithm.

        (7 USC § 1a(51)(B) then follows with some exceptions to that definition.)

        In short—an "organized exchange" is defined as a type of "trading facility". To count as a trading facility", whether of the "organized exchange" type or not, you must either accept bids or offers from other participants yourself or else deterministically match and execute those bids and offers.

      • riffraff 11 hours ago
        I think their point is there's no "peer to peer" trading so it's not an exchange. You're always contracting futures with them, so it's more like a vegetables seller than a trading facility.
        • a11ce 11 hours ago
          Exactly right. You're able to privately resell contract keys (and the buyer can then re-issue a new key with their delivery info, voiding the old one), but onionfutures.com doesn't facilitate it.
          • altmanaltman 10 hours ago
            I mean, it kind of does, though, no? Since it is backing the contract in the first place? Why else would anyone buy those contracts if they didn't know they have value provided by onionfutures.com in the first place? Why can't I just sell a fake key, claim it'll work, and make unlimited money this way if that wasn't the case?

            The specific laws do not actually ban the transfer of those contracts (tbf this is very complex and depends on your reading). And yes they do not facilitate the trading of the instruments in the secondary market but they absolutely facilitate the instruments themselves otherwise there cannot be a secondary market without any backers of the instruments.

            • a11ce 10 hours ago
              See FBT's comment below, it's about matching or being on both sides of the trade.
        • sokoloff 45 minutes ago
          Between CBOE and OCC, that’s (exactly?) how options trading works as well, and I don’t think anyone claims that CBOE is not an exchange.
      • quirkot 11 hours ago
        Legal defense is basically "nuh uh"
  • haakon 11 hours ago
    Since this may be a legal gray area, they should host it on a Tor onion site.
    • thedrexster 9 hours ago
      oooo, that's a missed opportunity
  • shoo 11 hours ago
    US Department of Agriculture publishes a national potato & onion report (issued daily!):

    https://www.ams.usda.gov/mnreports/fvdidnop.pdf

    Readers may wish to skip ahead to page 4, where onions are discussed.

  • ivraatiems 57 minutes ago
    Okay folks, I've got one onion for November. Charged $3.74, yours for $4.50! But hurry! By November it could be worth $9!

    I am serious, reply here, I'll sell you my onion contract for $4.50. Who's buying?

  • envoked 9 hours ago
    For those unfamiliar, there's an excellent Planet Money episode on how trading onion futures got banned in the 50s.

    https://www.npr.org/sections/money/2015/10/14/448718171/epis...

  • Reason077 11 hours ago
    Are these contract prices really "per onion"? Or are they actually per pound or per kg? Up to $9.39 seems very expensive if it's really the price for a single onion.

    I thought maybe they're some sort of special exotic onion variety, but I don't see anything to suggest that.

    • a11ce 11 hours ago
      They are per (normal (sometimes organic) yellow) onion. Prices vary.

      (It's primarily a novelty/art thing. But I do actually deliver the onions.)

      • kolinko 8 hours ago
        Love it, reminds me of early days of crypto.

        How do you decide upon a price?

        • conorcleary 5 hours ago
          the pizza to onion ratio of course
      • viccis 10 hours ago
        [flagged]
  • joegibbs 11 hours ago
    Why was the law against onion futures passed in the first place? Couldn’t the same scheme be done with garlic, or sweet potatoes, or turnips or something?
    • pjc50 8 hours ago
      Because American lawmakers are weirdly specific brainless creatures. This is how you get all those laws named after individuals like Megan, and my other specific fave, the Video Rental Records Privacy Act.

      Shall we address the general question of privacy, or just close the particular breach that affected a congressman? You know it's going to be the latter.

      • QuadmasterXLII 3 hours ago
        narrowly scoped laws limit the blast radius of a stupid law without the political price of opposing a law in the aftermath of a disaster that law would have prevented. imagine if they had banned commodities trading in general!
      • specialist 2 hours ago
        > weirdly specific brainless creatures

        Legislative product management, by committee.

      • howunfortunate 2 hours ago
        This one is a great example of how a Republic can avoid the worst excesses of direct Democracy

        A direct democracy might have just banned all futures.

    • gostsamo 10 hours ago
      A guy cornered the market in the fifties, caused a scandal, they made a special exception.
      • joegibbs 9 hours ago
        But what I’m saying is, why did they only cover onions? I don’t think there’s anything stopping someone from cornering the market in other commodities just as easily
        • weakened_malloc 9 hours ago
          Because the size of the market was/is so small that you're actually able to corner it. Oil or Treasury futures are far too big that no single person could ever corner it.
          • mhh__ 1 hour ago
            > Treasury futures are far too big that no single person could ever corner it.

            Well, you'd think, but squeezing the CTD bond was completely accepted practice well into the noughties until PIMCO flew too close to the sun and faced regulatory wrath.

          • microtherion 8 hours ago
            Though the Hunt brothers made a pretty good run at the Silver market in 1980.
            • defrost 8 hours ago
              China went all in on rare earth concentrate processing, taking the environmental hits that no one else wanted to touch.

              That paid off in a concentrated lock on the bulk of rare earth applications.

      • shawn_w 10 hours ago
        Two guys. At one point bags of onions were being sold for less than the value of the bags they were in...

        They also got onion farmers to buy back onions they'd already sold.

    • chirau 11 hours ago
      Because Vincent Kosuga.
  • jordan1212k 1 hour ago
    This is a rip-off. I live in NYC and these prices are 2x to 4x what I pay for organic onions.
    • ivraatiems 58 minutes ago
      These aren't onions, these are onion futures! You can buy a physical onion now for one price, but you can't buy the promise of an onion later!
  • chirau 11 hours ago
    In an onion related note... is the "I sell onions on the internet" guy still around? I believe he was selling Vidalia onions.
  • padjo 3 hours ago
    It's an onion Michael, how much could it cost, $9.41?
  • mhh__ 1 hour ago
    Is the price of onions really that seasonal? Shall have to check
  • z-mach9 10 hours ago
    Looking forward to my 2 onions in November! Anyone have some good recipes?
  • not-my-account 11 hours ago
    These onion prices are quite high! The novelty probably drives up prices. Too bad there isn’t a liquid market for onions
    • bowmessage 11 hours ago
      Onion soup sounds highly fungible.
      • SwellJoe 9 hours ago
        Maybe if you put some mushrooms in it.
  • PowerElectronix 6 hours ago
    I can't short onion futures? Why? Buying the nov. Contract and selling the dec. Would net a >100% return on a month (minus the freezing cost of the onions)
    • wavemode 2 hours ago
      You can, since the contracts are transferrable. But SFOFC is not an exchange so you'd have to find a buyer yourself.
  • monkeydust 5 hours ago
    > Please note that although we will do our best to contact you and deliver your onions, no refunds are offered even in the case of a failed delivery.

    How many times have you failed delivery where you have been able to establish contact with contract owner and they want their onions? Curious

  • PowerElectronix 6 hours ago
    I can't wait until someone tries to corner the market, holds a shitton of future onions, the onions go bad and the market implodes showing that future contracts on perishable items is generally a bad idea.
    • dnautics 5 hours ago
      Future contracts on perishable items are executed all the time.
  • gorgoiler 7 hours ago
    Hard to take this seriously when it just lists “onion” as the commodity. The onion we extract from the ground is not the same everywhere. Onion can be either light or heavy based on the size and density. Light onion will roll more easily than thicker, "heavy" onion.

    The sulfur content also affects the onion quality and price: “sweet” onion has low sulfur content, “sour” onion has high. Sweet onion can be used much more easily than sour onion, which requires more culinary processing to extract the sulfur compounds that make you smelly and your eyes water.

    Onion has been shown to have a negative impact on climate, especially on air quality with people in confined spaces after lunch, but despite this it continues to be a valuable resource that is processed into many everyday foodstuffs: white, yellow, red, salad, and for specialist applications the highly refined shallot and pearl compounds as well.

    Alas it seems likely that geopolitical upheaval will mean onion trading at ever higher prices. Brest Roscoff Intermediate (light, sweet onion) is trading over $8 a bunch (yes, crude onion is traded in weird units!) since the war began.

    There’s also a bright future for synthetic. environmentally friendlier onion! Hydroponically grown scallions — so called “green” onion — have some interesting applications in the aerospace industry e.g. in-flight sandwiches and salads.

    • Barbing 19 minutes ago
      You could do standup probably
  • cushychicken 4 hours ago
    Someone call Peter Askew, the vidalia onion guy!

    www.onions.com

  • briansm 10 hours ago
    The Future's Bright. The Future's Onion.
  • theogravity 11 hours ago
    How many onions / lbs does a contract represent?
    • pjscott 11 hours ago
      A contract represents a set of (quantity, month) tuples, where quantity is an integer greater than zero; that number of yellow onions will be delivered in the corresponding month to the current holder of the contract. The mass of each onion is unspecified, as is the mean and variance of the underlying onion-mass distribution from which they are drawn.
    • shoo 11 hours ago
      Pricing is per onion. You could order some and weigh them, and report back.
  • stevefan1999 6 hours ago
    > Let the free market reign supreme.

    Tsk. There is no free market.

  • retube 10 hours ago
    These are not forwards, not futures.
    • a11ce 9 hours ago
      Yeah, this is pretty much the loophole. They're never actually referred to as futures, but as "private, transferable contracts for the future physical delivery of yellow onions".
  • rich_sasha 10 hours ago
    I get that it’s a joke, since onion futures are illegal. But isn’t trading all futures regulated?
    • csande17 9 hours ago
      You're not really trading a future, you're just pre-ordering onions.
  • wocram 11 hours ago
    These are 1 onion contracts? Outrageous!
    • K0balt 10 hours ago
      I know, right! Way overvalued. I’m shorting onions.
  • wheybags 7 hours ago
    Someone at the onion needs to see this.
  • dougSF70 10 hours ago
    This is very good.
  • charcircuit 11 hours ago
    >and for hedging risks associated with weather and market fluctuations

    Why don't existing futures cover this? Are onions unique in how sturdy they are? You can use derivatives of the weather itself even.

    • tesseract 9 hours ago
      Because, specifically for onions, it's infamously illegal in the US (as the site alludes to).
  • ElProlactin 11 hours ago
    Can we tokenize this or get some prediction markets going on Polymarket?
  • onion2k 7 hours ago
    I'll take 2000 please.
  • theturtle 2 hours ago
    [dead]
  • leej111 11 hours ago
    Maybe I open a tor store for people trading these onions with one another?
  • yieldcrv 11 hours ago
    hell yeah, based
  • mrbluecoat 1 hour ago
    > How are prices determined? ... using a proprietary algorithm.

    How is this article HN newsworthy?