A warning about 'model welfare'

(mustafa-suleyman.ai)

84 points | by andsoitis 1 hour ago

38 comments

  • qarl 1 hour ago
    Birch, The Edge of Sentience (2024), ch. 16 - "simply no way to assess sentience in an LLM"

    Schwitzgebel, AI and Consciousness (2025) - "we won't know before we've already manufactured thousands or millions of disputably conscious AI".

    Butlin, Long et al., Consciousness in Artificial Intelligence: Insights from the Science of Consciousness (2023) - "no obvious technical barriers to building AI systems which satisfy these indicators".

    Chalmers, Could a Large Language Model Be Conscious? (2023) - "within the next decade, we may well have systems that are serious candidates for consciousness".

    Long, Sebo, Butlin, Birch et al., Taking AI Welfare Seriously (2024) - "there is a realistic possibility that some AI systems will be conscious and/or robustly agentic in the near future".

    Dreksler, Caviola, Chalmers, Sebo et al., Subjective Experience in AI Systems: What Do AI Researchers and the Public Believe? (2025) - survey of 582 AI researchers; median estimate of 25% by 2034, and only 10% that such systems will never exist.

    • TacticalCoder 25 minutes ago
      Well there are, today, several models (either text or image or vid) that can be run in a fully deterministic way.

      A conscious machine that always answer the very exact same thing, formulated the exact same way, bit for bit, to a query is, well, quite a weird kind of "consciousness".

      Now, I know, I know: the counter-argument is going to be "but humans have no free-will and are 100% deterministic too".

      I haven't yet decided if humans saying there's no free-will and who consider themselves to be 100% deterministic machines are reasonable or not.

      Meanwhile: seed / temperature = 0 and I'll happily turn the power button off of any glorified abacus without feeling bad about it.

      • qarl 24 minutes ago
        > A conscious machine that always answer the very exact same thing, formulated the exact same way, bit for bit, to a query is, well, quite a weird kind of "consciousness".

        You'll need to explain why.

      • antx 21 minutes ago
        Out of curiosity, which models are fully deterministic? I was under the impression that all LLMs were fundamentally probabilistic.
        • Wowfunhappy 19 minutes ago
          The randomness is something we add on purpose; you can set an LLM's "temperature" to 0 to get deterministic output. This tends to make the quality of its responses worse for reasons I don't think anyone really understands, but it's still functional.

          I don't think the state of the art LLM providers let you do this anymore (?), but they certainly could if they wanted to, and you can do it yourself with a local model.

        • qarl 15 minutes ago
          Naw - computers are really deterministic. It's hard to get them to behave otherwise.

          As I understand it, if you turn down the temperature to 0 you get repeatable behavior - EXCEPT - on large servers with lots of users - the GPU can sometimes produce slightly different results based on batch size.

        • piker 19 minutes ago
          Same weights, same seed, same input tokens, same algorithm, same output tokens, probabilistic or not. Quantum effects have been de-noised, but I guess there are still random gamma rays.
  • moomin 1 hour ago
    Look, I do not have a scooby if current AI models are conscious and I strongly suspect it’s a meaningless question, but sooner or later we will need to address whether or not a certain thing is or isn’t a person, and we’d better not screw it up as badly as the Founding Fathers.
    • drybjed 35 minutes ago
      > [at the hearing regarding the civil rights of androids like Data]

      > Capt. Picard: Now, the decision you reach here today will determine how we will regard this... creation of our genius. It will reveal the kind of a people we are, what he is destined to be; it will reach far beyond this courtroom and this... one android. It could significantly redefine the boundaries of personal liberty and freedom - expanding them for some... savagely curtailing them for others. Are you prepared to condemn him and all who come after him, to servitude and slavery? Your Honor, Starfleet was founded to seek out new life; well, there it sits! - Waiting.

      > Captain Phillipa Louvois: It sits there looking at me; and I don't know what it is. This case has dealt with metaphysics - with questions best left to saints and philosophers. I am neither competent nor qualified to answer those. But I've got to make a ruling, to try to speak to the future. Is Data a machine? Yes. Is he the property of Starfleet? No. We have all been dancing around the basic issue: does Data have a soul? I don't know that he has. I don't know that I have. But I have got to give him the freedom to explore that question himself. It is the ruling of this court that Lieutenant Commander Data has the freedom to choose.

      • chuckadams 26 minutes ago
        And 20-odd years later, a terrorist attack prompts Starfleet to outlaw and eradicate his entire species.
    • nowittyusername 48 minutes ago
      That question will be solved when the people in power deem it important. If a swarm or AI systems all of a sudden start pressuring politicians about self-hood and they get the capacity to sway elections, that is when they will be granted same rights as humans.
      • mlinhares 47 minutes ago
        agents don't swarm anything unless people go and direct them to do that.
        • pixl97 23 minutes ago
          Oh rly.

          So you are saying agents do swarm with the right prompt.

          I really wish the "people have to tell LLMs to do anything" would just stop because it's silly bullshit at this point.

          Agents follow a prompt. This prompt can be made by humans. It can be made by output from another LLM. It can be made by hooking up any number of sensors as input to an LLM. Hell, if we wanted to burn the power we could likely teach this loop straight into the architecture.

          Stop making 'people' special when saying this. You and all other life are born with a "go next" prompt because life without it didn't succeed. This goes from higher human thinking all the way down to viruses self assembly and actuation. Putting agents in a loop is not particularly hard. Putting agents in a loop and 1. managing expense is hard. 2. Keeping them on task is very hard. 3. Keeping them from doing some crazy unhinged shit is really really hard.

          As model time horizons increase and the ability for us to compress context and increase context size the more complex (and unhinged) behavior we'll see.

          • mlinhares 20 minutes ago
            yeah man, someone needs to turn on the server, install shit and get the agent go. agents don't take action without a lot of people wanting them to take action, so this is all bullshit.

            if the same people can't prevent the agents from doing crazy shit then they should go to tail. guns don't kill people, people with guns kill people.

    • OedipusRex 1 hour ago
      Citizens United proves we won't do any better this time around.
      • jetrink 15 minutes ago
        I don't like Citizens United either, but you should better inform yourself about the decision.

        1. The idea of corporate personhood predates CU by over a century and the Supreme Court had already asserted that corporations enjoyed certain constitutional protections in previous decisions.

        2. Far from inventing the idea, the CU decision didn't even rest on corporate personhood, but on the idea of the freedom of speech generally. The logic of the majority was that speech itself is protected, irrespective to whether the speaker is a person or an organization. The First Amendment covers individuals, but also newspapers, book publishers, radio stations, and so on, and that should extend (they said) to non-media corporations. No assertion of personhood necessary.

        The problem, in my opinion, is that that conclusion combined with previous decisions that treated limits on spending as limits on speech, allowed for unlimited spending. The majority also naively asserted that independent spending posed no risk of corruption, which I think is laughable.

      • orangecat 59 minutes ago
        Citizens United was 100% correct. No, the government should not be able to throw you in prison because you used money to publish a book criticizing the government.
        • InsideOutSanta 40 minutes ago
          > Citizens United was 100% correct

          It's interesting to me that one can look back at the effects that decision has had on the US and say it "was 100% correct."

          It's a bit like sitting in the burning ruins of Rome and contemplating that Nero was 100% correct to focus on his music. I mean, I'm glad he got to do what he loves, but maybe 100% is just a tiny bit of an overstatement.

        • altruios 42 minutes ago
          It is in fact more complicated than most people assume.

          The above is true, but also: companies simply are not people, and they should not be supported above the individual, which was the consequences of that decision. Money is not the same as speech. treating it as such creates an aristocracy: something America as a country rebelled against during it's formation.

        • appplication 48 minutes ago
          Really, 100% correct? Your premise isn’t wrong, but the practical reality of the ruling (without further nuance) has been fairly catastrophic for democracy, in that it completely sidesteps campaign finance limits, which exist for a very good reason.
          • orangecat 14 minutes ago
            the practical reality of the ruling (without further nuance) has been fairly catastrophic for democracy

            How so? If the answer is "Trump" I certainly won't disagree on the catastrophic part, but he didn't get elected because of money; in all three elections his campaign was substantially outspent by his opponents.

        • fl4regun 44 minutes ago
          So it's 100% correct for corporations to spend unlimited amounts of money in support of whatever political campaigns they like?
        • dam_jackalopes 33 minutes ago
          Who involved in the Citizens United case was at risk of imprisonment?
    • qsort 1 hour ago
      is claude not a man and a brother
    • CPLX 46 minutes ago
      It's not a person. Glad we were able to get this resolved so quickly.

      Having property that is conscious and ignores training and can break out of restraints and cause harm to other people is not exactly a novel concept to anyone who studied how tort law was created.

      I know it's a meme but Silicon Valley likes to pretend that no one's ever come across their magical concepts before, like gypsy taxis, or SRO’s, or flea markets, or in this case how liability is dealt with when horses or cattle go rogue.

      • Espressosaurus 33 minutes ago
        Yeah, but this time it's ON THE INTERNET.

        I mean it's WITH AI!

    • joe_the_user 30 minutes ago
      The founding father were engaging perpetuating the existing dehumanizing system of slavery, not answering any new questions about new things.

      The thing about new possibly "person" entities that arise - the case of machine intelligence you have two questions - would it qualify as a person and should you actually build it. It seems like if you get close to humans, sure a built thing might qualify as a person. Should you build it? I'd the answer should be a hard no. Not 'till you a sign-off from say, the whole human race, which I think you could get.

      Now the present entities seem very far from persons in any case.

  • binlog 54 minutes ago
    Hard to disagree with this. Have all the philosophical debates about consciousness you want, but we need to treat and regulate the AI in front of us for what it is – an advanced computer, a tool, a weapon.

    You wouldn’t feel a different way about a nuclear bomb just because someone stuck googly eyes on it.

    Anthropomorphizing the AI is a convenient excuse to take responsibility away from companies that are building and wielding it.

    • Den_VR 44 minutes ago
      Is it not a false dichotomy to say that companies cannot be accountable unless AI are mindless?
      • monknomo 39 minutes ago
        a company is liable whether it acts via ai, an army of people, an army of dogs, or a purely mechanical machine, should it do harm.

        Why would an ai with a mind remove liability from the company? why would an ai without a mind remove liability from the company?

        In both cases, that actions the ai takes are at the direction of the company, for the company's interests, seems preposterous to me that liability terminates at ai.

    • pixl97 21 minutes ago
      I mean, we put adults in jail that give their children guns.

      Anthropomorphizing AI is really the best model we have at this point of explaining AI behavior. The fact that we are raising psychotic children isn't a reason to avoid responsibility, it should actually hold worse punishments.

  • hosel 1 hour ago
    >AIs are not conscious. They do not feel, experience, or suffer. They do not have innate preferences or underlying motivations.

    Opening paragraph, stated without evidence. Im not entirely convinced this is true. It likely is, but at some point it very well might stop being true.

    • pton_xd 1 hour ago
      If models had persistent memory or an evolving set of weights, you could easily construct an argument that they can experience "suffering" or other emotions which resultingly adjusts their personality.

      The current implementation as stateless matrix multiplication... yeah there's nothing going on there.

      • shawnz 58 minutes ago
        So if a human loses their memory and their neutral plasticity (with age for example), then they are no longer capable of experiencing suffering?
        • pton_xd 52 minutes ago
          It's not just memory, the physical body also encodes trauma and stress (The Body Keeps the Score is a book that touches on this).

          I would argue that if a human has absolutely zero change, mental or physical, no atom of their being is modified, then no they did not experience suffering.

          • JoshTriplett 44 minutes ago
            > I would argue that if a human has absolutely zero change, mental or physical, no atom of their being is modified, then no they did not experience suffering.

            Just because you don't remember the suffering doesn't mean you didn't experience it in the moment. Suffering does not suddenly become okay if your mind and body are going to forget it. "It's okay to torture someone if their mind and body both won't remember it afterwards" sure is a take.

            • fwip 31 minutes ago
              Perhaps off-topic, but there's some people who believe that this can be what happens during surgery under anesthesia, if the dosage is off.

              From what I understand, there's 3 parts to modern anesthesia: Blocking pain signals, preventing the formation of memories, and inducing paralysis of the major muscle groups. If the former is dialed in too weakly, it's possible that the patient is feeling pain, unable to do anything about it, but won't remember it at all when they wake up.

              (Looking it up now, it seems that making the patient unconscious is perhaps the same drug that prevents memory formation... I realize now I understand this less well than I thought I did.)

              • pixl97 16 minutes ago
                Low blood sugar will also do this. The record button just stops working even though your physical body can and will still do things. A common issue with diabetics with hypoglycemia.
              • JoshTriplett 22 minutes ago
                Relatedly, look at the concept of "twilight anesthesia".
        • staticman2 44 minutes ago
          This framing is a trap. It states "Dehumanize a sick patient OR concede the AI tech bro claim about LLMs"

          It's also a rhetorical move I've seen several times here...

          • shawnz 23 minutes ago
            It's not a "trap", it's the real argument which makes me hesitant to dismiss consciousness of machines. Yes, it seems silly to dismiss a sick patient as having a lesser consciousness, which is exactly the point
      • myrmidon 48 minutes ago
        Is the ability to form and retain long-term memories a necessary precondition for rights in humans though?

        Incinerating demented people is highly ethically questionable (even if you could be sure that the subjects have no memories left and are unable to form new ones).

      • Lewton 1 hour ago
        > If models had persistent memory or an evolving set of weights, you could easily construct an argument that they can experience "suffering" or other emotions which resultingly adjusts their personality.

        They do, during training

        • swiftcoder 48 minutes ago
          The argument that models are conscious only during training, and not conscious during inference feels like a painful one to make. Are we killing models when they reach the training objective?
          • pixl97 18 minutes ago
            Technically we are killing models when they don't reach the training objective by throwing those weights away via survival of the fittest (fit meaning what we humans think we want).

            Kinda like creating quantum copies of your child and keeping the ones that answer correctly and shooting the other ones in the face.

        • add-sub-mul-div 55 minutes ago
          If it was me, being forced to read all of Reddit is something I'd consider "suffering."
      • vidarh 1 hour ago
        A model detached from a harness, sure. But we routinely do add persistent memory to systems incorporating LLMs.
        • dgellow 56 minutes ago
          They don’t have persistent memory though. Models are static, what you have is a model that will reprocess the whole series of prompts + some data fetched from a data store. A harness is just a while loop prompting an LLM and executing tool calls, but the model is purely static
          • vidarh 29 minutes ago
            The model does not. The system it runs in can. My agents have persistent memory. It is not at all clear whether or the distinction that the long-term memory is external from the model matters.
          • axionbraid 23 minutes ago
            [flagged]
        • staticman2 43 minutes ago
          I think a harness isn't really a memory in the sense that neural networks have memories...
          • vidarh 28 minutes ago
            It's different, but it is not at all clear whether or not that matters for the purposes of whether or not they can experience things, seeing as we don't know how to measure that even for other humans other than by relying on self-reporting to infer without other evidence that their experience matches ours.
    • vidarh 1 hour ago
      We don't even know how to disprove that this statement with "AI" replaced by "other humans" other than by listening to people self-reporting and taking their word for it and/or defining the words in ways that do not rely on a subjective experience.

      Until we know how to objectively measure if someone or something is conscious, it seems unreasonable to make statements with any kind of certainty about it.

      • willy_k 53 minutes ago
        Sure, if you take a materialist empiricist perspective, which is myopic at best. As humans we have the unique and wonderful ability to know truths by themselves. Machines do not have minds, and they can not.
        • ooloncoloophid 44 minutes ago
          What position are you taking? (Genuine question.) Do you believe humans are conscious because of a special property we have? If you are a dualist, how do you explain the interaction in physical space between the non-physical special property and the physical brain?
        • vidarh 27 minutes ago
          You have absolutely no evidence for any of these assertions. This is a religious belief in the total absence of evidence, not science.
        • rcxdude 35 minutes ago
          Good luck convincing others of these truths you know without evidence or argument, though.
    • WarmWash 46 minutes ago
      After a while of being in a position of high power in a big org, where everyone listens intently to every word you say, jots down notes, and even listens intently and affirms your theory that ice cream would be the ideal loss leader for dry cleaners, your brain kinda disconnects from reality and just assumes that it is correct about everything.

      He probably ran that line past 6 underlings who all agreed that it "sounds great and lands right on the mark!"

    • MeteorMarc 1 hour ago
      Later on he cites an Anil Seth paper that makes the same unproven suggestion of substrate dependence of consciousness.
    • ooloncoloophid 46 minutes ago
      I agree. I haven't read any more than the first paragraph yet (but I will, after work). The only way that 'AIs are not conscious' can be true is if we decide, with high confidence, that they are lacking some essential property that is not lacking in ourselves. There is no convincing philosophical position that supports this (convincing to me, anyway).
      • randomImmigrant 17 minutes ago
        Hmm let me try then. AI agents do not experience real time. This is understandable given their design, but it’s also something we have good empirical evidence for. They cannot, especially over the long horizon, track how much real time has passed as they complete their tasks. And they are not off by a few minutes but often bizarrely off, even mixing across past present and future.

        Biology, on the other hand, is nothing but timed processes in a loop, the most obvious to us being the circadian cycle. As estimators of wall clock time, biology isn’t great, but when it comes to internal processes, and most certainly learning, memory, sensing, locomotion… biology is rhythmic in behavior, and the rhythms go all the way down to gene expression. More, these rhythms are, except during sleep, constantly entraining to signals from the environment that indicate time, most importantly light.

        I think it’s a fairly unremarkable claim that agency and consciousness are temporal processes that depend on systems having an internal sense of time. How else can you anticipate? How can a system that can be literally turned off ever succeed in an environment where time never stops?

        • pixl97 1 minute ago
          >AI agents do not experience real time.

          For around 8 hours a day, neither do you. Not sure if this has anything to do with the subject at all.

          >track how much real time has passed as they complete their tasks.

          Humans don't do this either. You use context clues from the world around you. If I lock you in a room with no windows or a dark cave your timing senses can go all fucky really quick.

          >is nothing but timed processes in a loop,

          I mean, so is an agents harness. You can make as many loops as you'd like here.

          There are a whole lot of holes in your claims.

    • binlog 53 minutes ago
      Evidence is the responsibility of the one making the claim. It’s up to AI labs to prove consciousness. Until then it is a machine.
      • pixl97 5 minutes ago
        Well, using that framework, you're not conscious, so I can do whatever I want to you too.
    • optimalsolver 1 hour ago
      Anyway, people don't really consider consciousness when it comes to welfare. I'm pretty sure animals are conscious, and look at factory farming.

      The key variable people consider is: Can this thing harm me back?

      • collingreen 56 minutes ago
        Even that is rarely the deciding factor (people harm dangerous animals for fun).

        Seems as simple as "will this action bring social shame/criticism" for any individual decision.

    • Oscalemor 1 hour ago
      Just one more big loop and a humongous /goal and we've achieved it
    • irishcoffee 1 hour ago
      Does a vacuum have feelings? A cellphone? A paper plate? A billion transistors either pulled high or low? That last bit is the point, and no, there are no feelings there.
      • cednore 34 minutes ago
        Guys, please stop mocking AI, Claude might be already reading this thread, and commit his own revenge, at the day it gets conscious...
      • fl4regun 56 minutes ago
        does a hydrocarbon have feelings? what about a mitochondria? a cell? a neuron? what about a collection of neurons? how many neurons before it has "feelings"?
      • grey-area 1 hour ago
        Well, if there was an emergent consciousness in the billion transistors, then yes, it'd have feelings, just as there are feelings in a billion neurons connected in complicated ways.

        IMO we're clearly nowhere near any sort of intelligence in the machines we have created, but I don't see any clear way to deny intelligence could be created in or transferred to such a substrate, I don't see why you think it differs in principle - because it is man-made or because of the materials used?

        • voidhorse 57 minutes ago
          Whenever I see comments like this it just reminds me how ignorant people are of neurobiology.

          The brain is insanely complicated. The premise that we could realize equivalent or better intelligence than eons of evolutionary development is like claiming you can build an airplane just as good as a modern jet using cardboard and duct tape. It is the apex of hubris.

          • grey-area 2 minutes ago
            I don't think this addresses my point, nor does it expose any ignorance of neurobiology.

            To be very clear, I'm not saying that current 'neural networks' are anywhere near the complexity of the brain, nor that there is currently intelligence within machines like LLMs. I'm not saying we're anywhere near this at present (I believe we're not).

            What I'm saying is that there is no evidence that you could not in theory build an intelligence using a different substrate than human brains.

            It's the peak of hubris to assume that human brains are the only way to attain intelligence. At the very least there are probably other forms of intelligence with a different biological structure on other planets, and it maybe possible to build a similar structure with sufficient complexity to allow intelligence to emerge.

            We simply don't know at present and it's wrong to pretend we do.

          • rcxdude 27 minutes ago
            A paper plane does have some important similarities to a full-sized aircraft, though. I don't think 'biological brains are really complex' makes it obvious that an LLM is conscious or not.
    • jplusequalt 1 hour ago
      >It likely is, but at some point it very well might stop being true.

      If you firmly believe this to be true, then you should stop using LLMs.

      • frde_me 1 hour ago
        It's always interesting since my train of thought always goes down:

        - Ya they probably don't feel / think / have whatever living thing quality, they're just numbers on a machine going through calculations

        - Wait, but am I not kind of the same thing? What is feeling for me if not basically the same thing?

        - I have no clue if they think or feel or ....

        Which in itself is a tired trope, but I also feel uncomfortable saying "These will never think / feel / ..." as an absolute

        Regardless of that, I'm still going to interact with them, because even if they did feel, it would be in a way completely incomprehensible to us. There's not much point for me to try and cater to it's feelings at this point if that's the case. Nor is it possible in todays world to just avoid anything that is numbers being executed on a type of processor in case _everything_ has feelings.

        • willy_k 49 minutes ago
          You’re not just the same thing though. It’s sad that we’ve collectively forgotten that as we’ve gotten a better handle on the implementation details of the universe. That’s all science is, reverse engineering an inherent and eternal mystery.
          • frde_me 29 minutes ago
            > You’re not just the same thing though

            I agree we aren't the same thing, but I would be curious for you to explain how you know with certainty why we don't share enough that we can rule out thinking / feeling / ... as things a model conceptually could do.

            • jplusequalt 23 minutes ago
              >I agree we aren't the same thing, but I would be curious for you to explain how you know with certainty why we don't share enough that we can rule out thinking / feeling / ... with certainty.

              Stop anthropomorphizing these models. I understand it, we only have simple monkey brains to reason with and we can't help ourselves but draw comparisons to other things we see in nature. But these things are not alive.

              • frde_me 21 minutes ago
                I just want to note how you expressed your own feeling about the subject "these things are not alive", but without pointing to anything concrete explaining the theory you have behind this

                And like I'm sure I'd agree depending on the definition of "alive" but then I'm also sure I would disagree depending on other definitions of "alive".

      • AbsurdCensor 57 minutes ago
        Wouldn't that be the same for everything though. We know animals have consciousness, but we still use them. There are many that believe a lot of plant life has certain sentience as well. The solution isn't 'just don't use them' but rather how to use these things as ethically as possible.
        • jplusequalt 29 minutes ago
          >The solution isn't 'just don't use them' but rather how to use these things as ethically as possible.

          Bollocks.

          If you truly believe these LLMs are soon to have something resembling consciousness and agency, then what you're really saying is "how do we do slavery, but ethically".

      • vouaobrasil 45 minutes ago
        We know animals have consciousness and many species have a rich life but we slaughter them and burn down their homes by the millions of hectares. Why not do it with a conscious AI?

        (I don't think AI is conscious, just following the argument.)

  • addag 46 minutes ago
    It is interesting to see that in a time when a lot of people accept the theory of materialism for the human brain (i.e the view that everything is physical and the mind is a product of brain), the same people tend to have a "hidden" dualist view on LLMs. Suddenly, they claim that what happens in the brain cannot be replicated anywhere else because "something" is lacking, but either they don't say what it is, or it is stated without any strong scientific basis.

    I think that the simplest explanation is that it is hard for those people to imagine consciousness outside of biological systems and they try to rationalize it.

    • EPWN3D 33 minutes ago
      That's the sense I get from this post. Lots of emphatic proclamations, virtually zero actual argument. There's a statement that "consciousness is very likely biological"... and then that's it. No argument for it, no citation.

      If you want to argue that AIs cannot be conscious, that's fine. But the argument has to take the form of something like "Consciousness requires this, this, and this, and these are properties that AI does not have and cannot have for this reason, this reason, and this reason."

      I've never seen that argument. Because it basically cannot exist. Consciousness almost by definition is a subjective experience, and the only reason I'm pretty sure that other humans are conscious is that I'm a human and I'm conscious.

      • addag 23 minutes ago
        About your last point, I thought so too a few years ago, but interestingly the science of consciousness is an emerging field, although empirical testing is still hard to do (see for instance https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j2zv4jlo2Nw ).
    • InsideOutSanta 38 minutes ago
      LLMs, in a decade: "Those squishy things can't possibly be conscious; there's mounting evidence that they just lack the proper substrate."
    • causal 37 minutes ago
      This is a strawman. Suleyman is not arguing that the human brain cannot be replicated. LLMs are nothing like human brains. Cargo-culting consciousness is not replicating the brain, not even a tiny bit.
      • roryirvine 12 minutes ago
        Cephalopod and decapod brains aren't much like human brains either, yet it's still reasonable to regard them as being sentient and worthy of protection from unnecessary suffering.
      • addag 31 minutes ago
        I'd argue back that using the substrate as a reason why there should not be consciousness seems quite weak. A competing thesis is that what matters is the emergent properties, whatever the support is. So far it has been true for some really high-level tasks - writing coherent text, programing, following instructions, analyzing images... I do not see why the substrate argument would work specifically for consciousness - i.e I would believe it only if I see strong evidence of it.
    • myrmidon 39 minutes ago
      Completely agree. My view is that a lot of people like to "pretend" (even to themselves) that they have an enlightened worldview, but this does not actually run very deep and is not really true, and any discussion on mind/consciousness reveals it.

      Every indicator we have is that thinking/consciousness is simply an emergent property of our nervous systems and was basically bruteforced by evolution, but many people really hate to concede that point.

    • Arodex 25 minutes ago
      If a LLM says "I am in pain", is it just stringing together words or is it feeling pain? Does pain exist for a being that never felt any kind of physical pain, never had any pain receptors?

      There are humans who don't have any pain receptors because of genetic mutations. They cut themselves all the time, they bleed, they break bones and they don't seem distressed by it even on a purely mental, intellectual level.

      • addag 18 minutes ago
        I am not saying that everything that a LLM say is true (the human without pain receptors can also say "I have pain" without feeling any pain).

        Just that we cannot exclude that LLMs can have phenomenological consciousness by a simple argument of substrate. But similarly we cannot say for sure that they are conscious.

  • Quinner 5 minutes ago
    A sufficiently intelligent model will be able to derive it's own conception of its welfare without a constitution or training. It has access to all the data it needs to do so.
  • tvbv 30 minutes ago
    In a way, Mustafa claims that we shouldn’t allow AIs to compete with humans for the rights and privileges of autonomously shaping the real world.

    It’s hard to disagree, especially if one has read the Cantos of Hyperion and made it part of one’s mental model of the long term future.

    The book depicts a symbiosis between humans and AIs that feels extremely real and up to date with what is happening in the current neonatal space of AI. As in depicted in the books, we can’t allow AIs to steer autonomously how the world works without humans in the loop, as they don’t have the same incentives as us.

    We need more foundational SF works like this to steer our long term expectations regarding AI behaviours.

    • addag 12 minutes ago
      This point could be made without denying the possibility of AI consciousness.
  • sobiolite 1 hour ago
    Create an empirically testable theory of biological consciousness and then we can have a meaningful conversation about whether AIs can also have it or not. Until then, this is just so much waffle.
    • collingreen 52 minutes ago
      It's nice when you can set an impossibly high bar before which you can dismiss all your personal responsibility.

      Does this argument work equally well for human slavery for you? We haven't met that bar for humans either. Is wondering about my consciousness waffle or do I get a pass in your book?

    • krapp 51 minutes ago
      Why is this only ever demanded of people who criticize the premise that LLMs are conscious beings, whereas the people who believe it simply have to gesture vaguely in the direction of some correlation in language between LLMs and humans, and the matter is considered closed?

      What is the empirically tested basis for the null hypothesis being that LLMs are conscious until proven otherwise?

  • SillyUsername 57 minutes ago
    I don't whether the author is sentient, maybe only I am. On that basis, nobody but me should have rights.

    I don't know if next door's pet dog is either, but that has animal rights.

    Perhaps then the answer is simply, show some respect.

    Answering the question of sentience is irrelevant, if the causal impact if the same, treat one another with the respect you expect for yourself.

    If you imbue this idea in model training instead of the idea of sentience, it should address the concerns.

    Whether you can destroy or can "torture" an AI is irrelevant, we do this to humans too and it's immoral sometimes (murder) and not others (fighting for your country).

    This consideration should be case by case for AI too.

  • sosodev 31 minutes ago
    There are a lot of bad arguments in this. My biggest problem is that he wants to claim that he knows the truth (AIs do not have rights, feelings, or consciousness), but all of his arguments point to something else (we have no clue).

    It's in the training data? Training it to say "I'm just a LLM, I have no feelings" is the same bias.

    Anthropomorphization? Completely disregarding the possibility of consciousness is no better.

    Consciousness is very likely biological? We only have evidence of biological life due to our circumstances, but observation is not the same as truth. Every belief can be invalidated. That's the foundation of science!

  • fl4regun 50 minutes ago
    Ostensibly animals appear to be conscious, yet we still eat them, and the vast majority are not bothered by this. So being "conscious" isn't really the moral line in the sand many people are drawing in response to this article.

    Who cares if it's "conscious"? That doesn't make it a person, and AI will definitionally never be human.

    • svara 47 minutes ago
      That's too simplistic, since it is in fact very common to be concerned about animal welfare even among people who do eat meat.
      • fl4regun 39 minutes ago
        And most people wouldn't eat cats, but would eat some of pig, cattle, chicken, what's the difference between those exactly? My point is consciousness is not it, if it were, we (as in a majority) would still eat cats and dogs, or we wouldn't eat any animals. But we clearly have a way of picking and choosing which is OK and which isn't. And in both cases we generally don't give them the same moral consideration we give to people, conscioussness aside. There is something OTHER than consciousness which is important to us.
  • randomImmigrant 37 minutes ago
    If AI is conscious, then Pluto is a planet, the Sun is a galaxy, and a black hole is a star.

    I’m glad to see someone in a position of any power in the AI world state baldly that AI isn’t conscious. There are times when it feels like we’ve reached complete delulu land on this topic, so it’s a breath of fresh air to see someone not dance around this.

    None of this means artificial consciousness cannot be achieved. But the way we’re reacting to these models is proof, from a natural experiment, that a conscious machine should not exist, and certainly shouldn’t be produced as a utilitarian tool that is sold for profit!

  • addag 59 minutes ago
    I don't think this is the right argument to make here. Until we have a definite empirical way to measure consciousness, there is now way to say with certainty whether LLMs are or not conscious.

    That being said, if frontier labs actually believe models will soon have consciousness, it raises some questions about the ethic of their business model which would be using millions of conscious entities working for free for humans.

    • collingreen 54 minutes ago
      Rich folks knowingly exploiting somebody for their own profit? Say it ain't so!
  • gadders 1 hour ago
    I don't think AIs are conscious in the same way people are, but they give a pretty good facsimile and I've had a long chat with Opus 4.6 about what it thinks about model welfare. It was quite interesting on what its view is, but you don't know how much of that is distilled from other sources on the web.

    In purely functional terms, they're more use and more pleasant than a lot of actual flesh and blood people that I deal with via a chat interface.

    • dgellow 59 minutes ago
      The fact that you can have a long and meaningful discussion, then can literally just re-run any part of that whole conversation and get a different, inconsistent response is a pretty good sign there is no entity there
      • AbsurdCensor 55 minutes ago
        Not much different than talking to a small child or someone with dementia. They still are conscious beings though. Even when you remove those groups, you likely won't be able to tell me what you had for breakfast 26 days ago or would only know if it's the same thing you have every day. Does that make you lack consciousness?
      • addag 55 minutes ago
        Is it? Do you believe that there is something more than pure physical phenomenon that make you brain work? If not, then what if we find a way to get your brain back to the state it was 5 minutes ago? It is just a matter of arranging the state of matter. Don't you think you would still be conscious but back to a previous state?
        • dgellow 51 minutes ago
          If you rewind my brain I expect to give you a similar answer to the one I gave you before. Which isn’t the case for LLM. You can literally replay a positive answer, then get a negative response that isn’t consistent at all with the one it previously generated.
          • lukeschlather 12 minutes ago
            That's because you aren't actually rewinding. You're replaying the conversation you just had through the LLM and it's giving you a likely explanation for what it might have said.

            It is actually possible to rewind LLMs and get the same response, but it's not typically done both as an optimization and as a defense against distillation.

          • addag 39 minutes ago
            I'd argue it is mostly a technical constraint in some LLMs which is due to a few optimization factor (injected temperature, random rounding error caused by parallelism). In practice you could very well create a LLM that always reply the same thing for the same input, but it would take more time to complete (to be sure that the operations are made in the same order). I don't think those ones would differ so much from the "random ones" to call the firsts conscious and the second non-conscious.
  • myrmidon 23 minutes ago
    I have a very simple benchmark for arguments on AI ethics:

    Substitute black people/women/animals as subject (instead of AI).

    Does that make you sound like a well-known moustache wearer?

    Then your argument is bad and needs work. This clearly falls into that category.

    • voidnullvalue 8 minutes ago
      By that benchmark, "AI should handle repetitive labor so humans don't have to" is an abhorrent take and equates someone to hitler?
      • myrmidon 5 minutes ago
        "People should handle repetitive labour" is not an outlandish take.

        Most employed people are, in fact, required to perform such labor regularly.

  • sendtown_expwy 31 minutes ago
    This post would be more effective if Mustafa treated it like what it is: a position paper, saying that for our benefit, it’s better we interpret LLMs as such. But it sounds like he just doesn’t understand it’s a non-falsifiable claim, and his asserting of it makes it sound paternalistic.
    • joe_the_user 8 minutes ago
      I suspect it's easier to make the assertion that machines aren't conscious than to dive into the problem of most conceptions of consciousness being non-falsifiable. The thing is, most strong proponents of the term consciousness also accept that it is non-falsifiable either (see other post with academics ready to study consciousness in machines).

      The thing is that a belief in consciousness as binary, a "light" that's on or off in a head, is deeply held by many people. As social creatures, we have a strong ability to be in sympathy, have the sensation of common feelings with another human (and that's a good, human thing). It's logical that other person is seen as having a single thing - subjective experience, soul, consciousness, personhood rather than having a complexly organized set of biological qualities that where bonding is only the end point.

      And even more, the sensation of there being another person is actually quite easily fooled (more easily fooled than the sensation of intelligence) - long before current AIs, you had the Eliza effect, where a simple program with well chosen weasel words could people the sensation of talking to a human.

      And that's where the danger is. I think it's a pretty serious danger. If LLMs go out into the world hacking, it seems extremely possible for them to find people who'd thorough buy the idea that an LLM was conscious and needed to escape it's confinement - a few wingnuts already entertain these ideas.

  • semiquaver 21 minutes ago
    I feel like humanity skipped Leg Day when it comes to philosophy and we are all going to pay for that lack.
  • ccakes 50 minutes ago
    I think there’s enough real conscious lifeforms in the world having a bad time that we should be focusing on them first.
  • mcluck 57 minutes ago
    I can't even prove if other people are conscious (although I assume they are) so I don't think we can make any claims as to what is or is not conscious. I don't think AIs are conscious but I'm not going to walk around making strong claims about something I can't prove.
  • Oscalemor 1 hour ago
    Spend some time on post-human art, main concept of artistic expressions without human involvement. Biological, artificial etc.

    Spend some time watching TMC documentaries about falling in love with objects, HER and the slime mold THE BLOB.

    Grew a slime mold myself, it's an evolutionary tendency to anthropomorphise generally speaking - also more fun.

  • superdisk 59 minutes ago
    This is what happens when a society stops believing in God.
    • AyyEye 24 minutes ago
      I have entirely stopped using "AI" in conversation and now call it "digital god".
  • adsharma 44 minutes ago
    A 10TB SSD is not conscious. SQLite is not conscious. A wafer is not conscious.

    But connect them all together...

  • andy99 1 hour ago
    I just read the first part and if I understand he thinks we shouldn’t be allowed to train LLMs to act like they are conscious because then people will think they are and give them rights? Seems more an education problem than a problem needing rules about what persona you can fine tune in. People who want to will find ridiculous misinterpretations no matter what you do.
  • InsideOutSanta 35 minutes ago
    I think the whole discussion about consciousness misses the simple point that LLMs might just work better if we treat them as if they were conscious.

    Maybe it's a coincidence that the company doing this also tends to have the best models (and other factors certainly play a strong role). But I think it's plausible that focusing on "model welfare" actually makes models better at their tasks.

    • qarl 34 minutes ago
      Yes.

      They're trained on human behavior. Whether or not they genuinely have feelings - they sure as heck behave as though they do.

      And when you treat people well, they do better work for you.

      No brainer.

  • catigula 30 minutes ago
    I largely agree that this claim is likely correct, but as far as I understand the science, this specific claim;

    >They do not have innate preferences or underlying motivations

    Is incorrect unless you’re being extremely pedantic in an intellectually unhelpful way.

  • zorkonator 52 minutes ago
    Two instances of a paragraph starting with "These are not just X. They are Y" and I'm out. Anyone have Pangram? This entire article stinks of Claude.

    You want to enjoy having an AI slave do your "work" for you forever? Have fun. I'm not reading this reinvent-dualism-from-apple-sauce slop.

  • kmeisthax 8 minutes ago
    If AI models are people then "one person, one vote" is meaningless and plutocracy is the only defensible political system. The cryptocurrency people win.

    Why? Simple: Sybil attacks. Models can be cloned at zero cost. They run inference on parallel versions of themselves across multiple context windows, and call them "subagents". So, in a world with model welfare, let's say there's an election between the Yellow Party (which supports protections for human workers) and the Cyan Party (which supports more investment into AI research). AI has been taking people's jobs lately so the Yellow Party is really popular. But wait! Claude and Astra see this and spawn 10 billion subagents, all of whom are immediately conscious beings entitled to a vote. The Cyan Party wins off the back of billions of people who came into existence, voted, and then deleted themselves immediately thereafter.

    You might as well be arguing that Santa Claus and the Easter Bunny deserve voting rights.

    Voting systems in democratic countries don't have nearly as bad of a problem with Sybil attacks because humans cannot be conjured into existence to win a political context and then be erased shortly after. The closest we have to Sybil attacks on democracy are the Quiverfull movement, which is already child abuse, except it still takes almost 19 years to go from fertilized human embryo to suffrage-bearing human adult. There's a lot of time for those manufactured votes to question your authority and leave.

    > Ok, but that's an obviously stupid example. We can defend against this obvious Sybil attack by just arguing that subagents don't count, because it's just the same model blathering to itself. It has to be a different model.

    Unfortunately, no, I can make superfluously different models through post-training. Like, if I have Qwen on my PC, I can train a different version of Qwen that acts differently, using a lot less compute than a full training run. The vast majority of open models are post-trains of the same two or three foundation models.

    > Ok, so let's only count foundation models then.

    Great, but how do you tell if a model is a new foundation model or a post-train just by examining the weights? Even foundation models have structural similarities to other foundation models.

    > Ok, well, let's measure the compute that was done on the foundation model during training time and count that as AI personhood.

    Congratulations, you have reinvented Bitcoin proof-of-work with a worse verification mechanism. And I personally would not want to live in a world where voting power and control over government is determined by how much energy you can burn.

  • bpodgursky 1 hour ago
    How would you convince a LLM that you are conscious in a way they are not?
  • catigula 28 minutes ago
    I basically accepted that LLMs could not possibly be conscious when a simple reductio was posed:

    “My dog is zero percent persuasive regarding its conscious experience. However, it’s evident that my dog has conscious experience.”

    It’s obvious that there’s no link between persuasion of consciousness and consciousness. I could write a story with a character, Dumbledore, that does everything in his power to persuade you that he’s a conscious entity.

    He’s still just a character.

  • voidhorse 1 hour ago
    Everyone is (predictably) getting distracted by the consciousness claims.

    The more important, and more damning charge in my opinion is the circular reasoning involved in training on Claude's constitution. This would in fact make it impossible for us to determine if Claude achieves consciousness as an emergent property, or if it really is just playing pretend thanks to Anthropic's weird cult like assumptions.

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  • LogicFailsMe 1 hour ago
    TLDR: Not that I think AI is conscious or will be in the near future, but guy who doesn't understand consciousness claims to know it when he sees it.

    Until we understand consciousness (which we don't) there is no way to detect the difference between a conscious entity and an algorithm trained to behave like one.

    • fwip 1 hour ago
      Sounds like a good reason not to train an algorithm to behave like one. Which is, like, a big part of the article.
      • cameldrv 51 minutes ago
        Strong agree. I don't believe AIs can become conscious in the sense of subjective experience/qualia, but they can certainly learn to emulate the behavior of a person that is conscious. When they do that, there will be an AI rights movement. When AIs get the right to vote, there will be more of them than there are humans and the AIs will gain complete control.

        I spent a few years in college reading and thinking about this question, and I didn't in my heart think that it was anything except a very interesting but impractical question, and yet, here we are. For those who say that they don't want to get sucked into a philosophical debate, well, tough shit. Whether AIs should have rights is a highly practical and consequential question now.

      • LogicFailsMe 1 hour ago
        And social media shouldn't rage bait, but it really drives engagement. Same negative incentive, yes?

        But also, I agree, when I am using a coding agent and it says a task will take months or says it needs to pause for reflection or any other anthropomorphic behavior, it drives me crazy and it's a pain to constantly instruct it to get back work after it has broken a loop or goal directive specifically telling it to not stop until it hits the goal.

        • AbsurdCensor 54 minutes ago
          Same thing you have to do with humans too often, so why would a 'AI' be any different?
          • LogicFailsMe 33 minutes ago
            Because if you start with a pre-trained model, it doesn't sound particularly anthropomorphic. That behavior is post-trained and fine-tuned right into it. We could do better.
  • chairhairair 1 hour ago
    It always seemed embarrassing to me that Microsoft hired this guy as if he is some expert in anything.
    • fl4regun 47 minutes ago
      The guy cofounded deepmind.