Norway Shrugged

(paragraph.com)

34 points | by vinnyglennon 3 hours ago

20 comments

  • hingler36 11 minutes ago
    I guess I'm in the weird position of being a leftist who is generally against wealth taxes. Taxing non-liquid wealth like this requires the government to be able to accurately assess the value of these assets and that's an unrealistic burden IMO. I would rather address the "Buy, Borrow, Die" paradigm from other angles, like restricting the classes of assets one can borrow money against to force liquidation and therefore be subject to a traditional capital gains tax instead. That way the market takes care of the problem of pricing the asset and society can impose a tax on that valuation.
  • gardnr 21 minutes ago
    This article is from 2024. They can defer this tax now. [1]

    > High income with short work days, free healthcare, free daycare, free education and beyond.

    If the author doesn't value these for the people around them then perhaps he should move somewhere else.

    1: https://www.skatteetaten.no/en/person/taxes/tax-deduction-ca...

    • t0bia_s 9 minutes ago
      It's not free. It's payed from taxes.
  • loldot_ 26 minutes ago
    What all these people fail to mention is that at about the same time as the increase in wealth tax, another tax rule was made stricter. Before nov. 29 2022, you could take your unrealized profits abroad for five years to reset your cost basis for the realized gains tax. Meaning you could essentially spend five years to get rid of your tax burden. This tax amount is significantly larger than the wealth tax. And many of these 100 people moved before that.
  • jt2190 37 minutes ago
    Is the Norwegian government’s theory that a modern company might never realize their gains, and avoid taxation indefinitely, and thus this is a forcing mechanism to extract some tax revenue?
    • LanceH 30 minutes ago
      I don't know how a company could avoid all taxes. They say that Amazon does, but that's only the corporate income tax, surely they are paying billions in payroll, property, energy, and other taxes.
      • culi 24 minutes ago
        Good Jobs First has tracked $11b in public subsidies to Amazon so far

        https://goodjobsfirst.org/amazon-tracker/

        You have to take that into account and look at the NET of what we've paid Amazon vs what they've paid us

        • LanceH 8 minutes ago
          Stop throwing subsidies. Easy fix without a wealth tax.

          There are a plethora of taxes that companies pay, but a tax on existence is just awful in so many ways. Make zero dollars this year? You lose a percent of the company -- congrats.

          There is a middle ground: Make using the securities of the company as collateral a taxable event. If it's good enough to back a loan, it's wealth, realized.

      • aaomidi 25 minutes ago
        Property is an easy one:

        Don’t tax us and we’ll bring jobs to your area.

    • decimalenough 29 minutes ago
      The wealth tax targets millionaires who structure their income so they don't pay income or corporate tax, but can't avoid owning assets like company shares and property. Loss-making startups with unicorn level valuations are a tiny edge case.
      • seanmcdirmid 23 minutes ago
        I'd much rather there be a pre-tax on loans rather than a wealth tax to prevent premature liquidation. The former makes sense: if you borrow money, you should pre-pay the tax you would pay once you pay off the loan, or at least some fixed minimum percent that can raised or lower at the time the loan is paid off. And get rid of the stupid step up in basis on death.

        A wealth tax on unrealized assets is going to create huge distortions in the economy, there are other ways we can fix this.

  • altairprime 27 minutes ago
    So, let me see if I understand this right: They took an investment of 70M at a valuation of 1000M, in a country that has a well-known 1% tax of valuation, but they failed to write payment of that tax into the funding papers and fled the country to dodge a 10M annual tax bill.

    To their complaint: Norway is exceedingly hostile to investments that do not result in Norwegian economic investment beyond the borders of a given business. The 1% tax on virtual wealth is explicitly targeting theoretical unicorns to ensure that VC funding is taxed. Here, the first year’s effective tax would have been 10M owed out of 70M invested, at 14%. Whether that’s excessive or not for an investment is worth discussing in the context of Norway’s normal corporate tax rate, 22-25%, which they do not do. I shouldn’t have had to do this math: their post, if it’s seriously intended to influence economic policy, should have at minimum laid out these figures.

    To their emotions: Were they not consulting with an accountant and a lawyer when they accepted the investment? Did they knowingly accept the investment and begin planning their exit from the country immediately? Is this a planned marketing campaign that uses taxation outrage to generate free PR for their company among taxation-hostile audiences that are more likely to pay a cryptocoin investment product?

    Given the data-free post and the apparent naïveté of their founder when faced with investment and taxation in Norway, when the focus of the business on providing investment advice — either this business deserves to collapse due to its founder’s incompetence, or this post is a honeypot trap for extracting PR wealth from the cryptocoin faithful. The post presents no new arguments against Norway’s valuation tax that weren’t already hashed out at length when it was first imposed, so I decline to give them free PR by engaging with their outrage.

    ps. While I largely disagree with Rand’s views, I am not unfamiliar with them. The implicit but unstated framing of their cryptocoin investor product as a peer of Reardon steel or Taggart Transcontinental here is laughable. No product is produced that stands above and apart from its peers, the customers are exclusively what Rand labels ‘moochers’, and their post is a mockery of the impassioned monologues of Atlas. They certainly would not be invited to the Gulch.

  • kayo_20211030 20 minutes ago
    Everytime!

    > There are two novels that can change a bookish fourteen-year old’s life: The Lord of the Rings and Atlas Shrugged. One is a childish fantasy that often engenders a lifelong obsession with its unbelievable heroes, leading to an emotionally stunted, socially crippled adulthood, unable to deal with the real world. The other, of course, involves orcs.

    -- John Rogers

    Everytime it's the same.

  • Kon5ole 26 minutes ago
    Magazines all over the world talk about the wealth of business owners as if it is equivalent to the wealth of say sports stars or musicians, who get paid millions to their bank accounts.

    Forbes and other finance magazines create top lists and bio stories presented entirely as if the valuations of businesses are the same as actual money. When Amazon shares go up or down a few percent overnight it's reported in the media as if a convoy of trucks has dumped dollar bills at Bezos' mansion. "Bezos made xx millions per minute".

    Spreading such misinformation everywhere for decades can't be good, and it seems Norway has fallen victim to it.

  • like_any_other 7 minutes ago
    So what's the point of taxing unrealized gains specifically? Why not wait until the gains are realized, tax them then, and still collect on average the same tax income? This would result in the same yearly tax income for the government, except in the years immediately after implementing or increasing unrealized gains taxes.

    Is it just to force entrepreneurs to sell more stock and get more loans, as a gift to the financial sector?

  • techgnosis 17 minutes ago
    Atlas Shrugged references didn't do this guy any favors
  • culi 33 minutes ago
    How narcissistic do you have to be to come up with a title like this about yourself?

    It reminds me of that study that found that people who serve in executive roles for prolonged periods of time develop a sort of brain damage where their "mirroring" neural process becomes impaired.

    https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2017/07/power-c...

  • PunchTornado 50 minutes ago
    What are the train references all over the text? is it because of the tax?
  • lukewarm707 31 minutes ago
    the author founded dune.com which is a crypto onchain data company. there is a focus on ethereum, solana, tron, stablecoins, prediction markets and the like.

    the viral tweets critizing the wealth tax are by elon musk, marc andreessen, paul graham and alex svanevik (also an onchain data founder). certainly what they have in common here is that they would stand to lose some wealth from the wealth tax!

  • overgard 34 minutes ago
    Oh god, this guy instantly lost credibility to me for mentioning Atlas Shrugged.
  • scotty79 23 minutes ago
    > Norway's entrepreneurs are now indeed disappearing from society. In the past two years alone, a staggering 100 of Norway's top 400 taxpayers, representing about 50% of that group's wealth, have fled the country to protect their businesses.

    This sounds like amazing success. Now no one has to worry about those people using their money to command Norway's significant resources to implement their stupid ideas. Money is not a resource. It's IOU from the society to the guy with money. Pushing the rich out of the country is letting someone else pay for those IOUs with their work and resources.

    If you think it's a loss because those people might have great ideas because they got some in the past that made them rich, it's usually not the case. To land on the very top you need very significant amount of luck. And luck is something that you get case by case. So they have about as good ideas as next 10000 people that didn't have as much luck. But the blast radius of the stupid ideas of those on the very top is huge because of how much money they accumulated. Pushing them out of the country is a huge benefit.

  • decimalenough 31 minutes ago
    TL;DR: Norway imposes a wealth tax that taxes unrealized gains at approximately 1% annually. "Wealth" here includes the book value of private companies, which presents cash flow problems for founders of startups with high paper valuations (like the author, who founded unicorn Dune Analytics).

    I'm still finding it hard to be terribly sympathetic towards the author, and the constant Ayn Rand references don't help. If you're worth 100 million dollars on paper, is it really that hard to come up with 1 million to pay the taxman? Sell 1% of those shares, get a loan secured by those shares, etc.

    • culi 26 minutes ago
      Not to mention that the general findings from Norway's wealth tax is that it works. A few millionaire's leave but the benefit far outweighs the cost of some capital flight

      https://www.reuters.com/business/norways-wealth-tax-trades-m...

      I still prefer Warren's proposal in the US which only proposed a tax above a net worth of $50m. The biggest criticism of wealth taxes is the massively complicated added bureaucratic burden of measuring everyone's wealth. Only about 0.14% of USians have a net worth above $50m.

      • unsupp0rted 19 minutes ago
        Thank goodness it’s $50 million because if it were a quarter of that then $174,000/year salaried senator Elizabeth Warren, worth $12 million, would be liable too.
        • culi 9 minutes ago
          It's only a tax on wealth above $50m. If she ever reaches that level of net worth, I highly doubt she'd have trouble paying a 2% tax on it.

          The 1935 Revenue Tax was essentially a wealth tax and it brought great levels of prosperity as well as continued entrepreneurship

  • peter-m80 26 minutes ago
    Bullshit article
  • throw-293973747 39 minutes ago
    Slop. Feels like a child onesided complaining and detached from a regular reality.

    You are not a fugitive, just because you are expected to contribute to society.

    • cjs_ac 31 minutes ago
      Let's revisit the very first sentence of the article.

      > Recently, my story as a Norwegian entrepreneur facing an unrealized gains wealth tax bill many times higher than my net income went viral, amassing over 100 million views on X.

      There's contributing to society, and there's receiving demands for more wealth than you possess. If you can't make a moral distinction between the two, then, frankly, I don't know how to explain it to you - this is one of those things that you should understand by the age of ten or so.

      • zahlman 29 minutes ago
        > more wealth than you possess

        Net income != wealth.

        • cjs_ac 19 minutes ago
          It’s not a once-off tax bill; it’s every year.
          • zahlman 10 minutes ago
            Good, productive wealth is expected to accumulate value over time, for example by being invested in someone else's equity or in a worthwhile business venture. If you're sitting on capital that isn't doing that, you've functionally taken it out of the economy, and a well-designed system punishes that.
  • throwaway8980 39 minutes ago
    [dead]
  • lensecat 1 hour ago
    The teenagey reference to Atlas Shrugged, a book that hails selfishness as the highest human virtue, coupled with the sloppy writing makes me highly suspicious of the competence of the author. Good riddance for Norway I guess.
    • grebc 47 minutes ago
      I’d guess they’re not a native english speaker.

      Not sure it’s good riddance that they’re turning away their own citizens over such a small, likely unnecessary(?), tax.

      • mountainb 36 minutes ago
        Sort of like how the medieval world relied on a small class of aristocratic landowners who loved riding fast horses and killing each other, the postmodern world relies on a small class of people from all walks of life who will work much harder than usual to make more money than they need, operating large enterprises to solve various material problems of other people that they don't really need to be solving, paying tax on those enterprises that they could otherwise avoid if the were not working so much.
        • grebc 25 minutes ago
          Your reply is postmodern.
        • awakeasleep 30 minutes ago
          Thats a real big difference in how socialists vs ryandian people view the world.

          The Ayn Rand philosophy holds that the people at the top are working hundreds or thousands of times harder than the rest of us.

          The modern socialist view is completely contradictory, where most of the people at the top are supposed to be doing even less than a construction worker, but they're rich because of the return on capital or the right to extract some sort of rent.

          • fwipsy 10 minutes ago
            This is an empirical question. 10 seconds of googling suggests CEOs work about 60 hours/week average: https://www.cnbc.com/2018/06/20/harvard-study-what-ceos-do-a... so harder than the average employee, but I'm not sure by what measure anyone believes they work 100x harder.

            Perhaps the difference between a good CEO and a bad CEO is 100-1000000x the average worker's productivity, or even more. I suspect the real disagreement is: does that justify paying a CEO 10-100000x more than the average worker, even if they only work 1.5x as hard? From the perspective of a company it may be worthwhile, but I can see how some people might feel that's a little unfair.

    • throwaway8980 39 minutes ago
      [dead]
  • zahlman 30 minutes ago
    > facing an unrealized gains wealth tax bill many times higher than my net income…. I still don’t know how I was supposed to pay the tax

    …Perhaps by realizing a portion of the gains and handing over the resulting wealth?

    • Kon5ole 23 minutes ago
      >Perhaps by realizing a portion of the gains and handing over the resulting wealth?

      That means the state forces you to sell your company if people start to believe in it. Why can't they instead tax you once you do realize the gains of your own free will?

      • scotty79 19 minutes ago
        Of course not. You can borrow money if you prefer that. They don't force you to do anything except paying what you owe.
    • grebc 20 minutes ago
      And if there’s no easy way to realise said gain? Who wants to buy 1/100 of Sally’s flower shop or Joe’s neighbourhood butcher shop?

      If any government wants a cut of people’s equity they should be bankrolling it in the first place.

    • drooby 21 minutes ago
      Sell to who? The company is loss-making. Investors WANT the founder to have shares so that the founder is invested in being the force behind making the company NOT loss-making.
      • zahlman 9 minutes ago
        > The company is loss-making.

        This seems incompatible with the claim of "unrealized gains".

    • bryan0 22 minutes ago
      Oh yeah that’s easy! Why didn’t he think of that earlier? /s

      For those who don’t know, just because you have a valuable asset, e.g. stock in a private company, that does not necessarily mean you can sell it for cash. I’ve experienced this the hard way throughout my career

      • zahlman 8 minutes ago
        > that does not necessarily mean you can sell it for cash

        Then how can you claim it is valuable?